Our predictions are based on extensive historical climate data for your location, analyzing long-term average temperatures. Our system uses sophisticated statistical methods to predict minimum temperatures for each day of the year. This allows us to estimate when temperatures are likely to cross critical frost thresholds.

We provide estimated dates for:

• Air Frost: When ambient air temperatures reach freezing 0°C / 32°F, even if only for short periods.
• Light Ground Frost: A milder ground frost where temperatures at ground level reach between 0 and -2°C or 32 to 28°F.
• Hard Ground Frost: A severe ground frost where temperatures at ground level head below -2°C or 28°F.

For each type, you'll receive a single estimated date for the last frost in spring and the first frost in autumn / fall. For regions without typical frost cycles, our tool will indicate whether air and ground temperatures are likely to remain above or below these thresholds.

While no model can perfectly predict daily weather, our calculator offers valuable, data-driven insights to help you grow with greater confidence.